The Day After -- Obama's Big Night

I have to say, I'm quite pleased with last night's results. Oh, it could have been just a little bit better. Obama could have run away with Lake County and taken Indiana. But all in all, it was a great night. He won by 14% of the vote in North Carolina. That was about 6% better than the latest polls suggested. He lost e a little less than 2% in Indiana (about 18,000 or so votes). Hillary in the latest polls was up by 4-6%. Recent experience suggested that late deciders had chosen Hillary. That didn't happen this time.
A couple of things we can take away from this night:
  • Barack Obama has the nomination in sight. He is about 184 delegates short at this moment. He is almost to the point where he has a majority of pledged delegates.
  • He showed he could close.
  • The people of Indiana and North Carolina could see pandering for what it is and didn't reward Hillary for her gas tax holiday -- a proposal that no credible economist backed nor did her colleagues in Congress. It was from the beginning a non-starter.
  • Barack Obama needs to focus now on John McCain not Hillary Clinton. Hillary is now, unless she drops out, what Mike Huckabee was to John McCain. He wouldn't go away, but he couldn't win.
  • Barack Obama is back on message. For the last couple of weeks Fightin' Hillary had him on his heels. But last night he got a second wind.
  • Obama isn't inevitable, but darn near inevitable.

Now we wait to see what happens. Reports are that Clinton loaned herself some more money. If she has money problems how long can she go on -- and will people stop giving if it seems as if Obama has this under wraps? There are reports that some of her backers are calling for her to step aside. Will they succeed? And finally, what about the super delegates. Will the dam break? Oh, and Michigan and Florida. Now that things seem in hand, I'm assuming a deal will be brokered.

As for VP's -- I do think Michael Westmoreland-White is correct (see comment in earlier post) that Obama will need to pick a white male as a VP, probably someone from Hillary's camp. Ted Strickland of Ohio, might be a good choice, but he's also a first termer, which could be a problem. I had hoped for someone like Bill Richardson or Kathleen Sebelius. But realities are what they are!

Comments

roy said…
I'm hearing more talk about Wesley Clark as a VP for him. That would cover a lot of bases...
Anonymous said…
Clark would do well, as would former GA Sen. Sam Nunn, but neither does what Strickland does: takes OH out of the running for McCain.

The Obama camp is saying they only need 176 more delegates.

BTW, McCain had a worse night than Clinton. Though Sen. Elizabeth Dole easily beat back her primary challenger in NC, thousands of NC Republicans cast votes for Romney or Huckabee even though their out of the race! That's not good news for him.

Clinton's "win" in IN seems to have been only because of Limbaugh and the GOP--1 of every 10 IN voters!
Mike L. said…
Obama will need Bill and Hillary Clinton's support. It may take the act of placing her on the ticket. Hopefully that won't happen, but I'm concerned about the poll numbers that have so many older white people that will not support him in november. They have to do some serious analysis that compares the negatives and the positives of having her on the ticket. It's a tough choice. She may be a necessary evil.

In the end, it is Hillary's responsibility to ensure that her supporters now support the party in November. The ball is in her court.
Robert Cornwall said…
She seems to have made clear that she will work her rear off in support of the nominee -- which she hopes will be her. If she's true to her word, then Obama should have a tenacious worker. I don't think she needs to be on the ticket for that to happen. I do think Michael is correct that he'll need to put someone on the ticket that represents this group -- ie Ted Strickland or Ed Rendell. Rendell likely is too much of a wild card to take on the job. Some have suggested Evan Bayh, but I don't think that provides necessary geographical distance.

I too don't think a joint ticket is wise. It might get him elected, but I worry more about Bill meddling than I do about Hillary.

As for seniors, that's a wild card. Yes, it's a problem, but I don't think they'll be thrilled with McCain. It's possible that they will sit home, which means Obama has a good shot at this. But ultimately you take your best shot with the candidate and hope for the best.
Anonymous said…
Bob, what you make of a church renting a school for services? The church in Lompoc has moved to a school in the village and now will occupy that space and disallow people who may want to use the school for any other function, renting it on Sunday and any soccer functions that carry over from a Saturday to Sunday to be held. The church will have the lock on the school and this is against school policy. I wonder what Matt Hughes would say about this. I would be interesting in you sharing this with him and getting his read. The school is in the village and almost in his backyard. I am for seperation of church activities from public buildings paid for by tax dollars.
Drake
Anonymous said…
Bob,

I just saw the question from "Drake" about a church renting space in a school for services. I'd love to speak with him directly. My e-mail is lindaandmatt@comcast.net.

Thanks

Matt

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